Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.390737 0.450479 0.513117 0.583403 0.659793 0.740034 0.830421
2024-12-29 0.317301 0.401475 0.494875 0.605069 0.730414 0.867514 1.027758
2025-01-05 0.251071 0.348682 0.463120 0.604518 0.771933 0.961407 1.189628
2025-01-12 0.201412 0.306933 0.437402 0.605605 0.811923 1.052317 1.349162
2025-01-19 0.168046 0.279796 0.424938 0.619218 0.864807 1.157920 1.527197
2025-01-26 0.143505 0.260119 0.418688 0.638188 0.922985 1.269861 1.714176
2025-02-02 0.123318 0.243106 0.413330 0.656393 0.979237 1.379526 1.899651
2025-02-09 0.100530 0.218278 0.394041 0.653516 1.006683 1.452616 2.040449
2025-02-16 0.085433 0.202872 0.386099 0.664503 1.051308 1.547111 2.208374
2025-02-23 0.069693 0.183401 0.369739 0.661736 1.076224 1.615753 2.343893
2025-03-02 0.052546 0.157632 0.340534 0.637714 1.070021 1.642523 2.425309
2025-03-09 0.044539 0.147720 0.335458 0.648416 1.111430 1.731801 2.587475
2025-03-16 0.034073 0.130296 0.316282 0.636893 1.121577 1.780581 2.699453
2025-03-23 0.030171 0.126761 0.320760 0.662127 1.184902 1.901882 2.907948
2025-03-30 0.023953 0.115726 0.310432 0.662891 1.212176 1.974285 3.052692
2025-04-06 0.018934 0.106059 0.301395 0.664845 1.240728 2.048434 3.200282
2025-04-13 0.015866 0.100913 0.300422 0.679801 1.288718 2.149877 3.385239
2025-04-20 0.013661 0.097681 0.302822 0.700263 1.345149 2.263536 3.587489
2025-04-27 0.011682 0.094433 0.304768 0.719792 1.400320 2.375931 3.788977
2025-05-04 0.008712 0.085837 0.294281 0.716836 1.420355 2.438607 3.923292
2025-05-11 0.007007 0.081384 0.292271 0.728577 1.463243 2.534049 4.102966
2025-05-18 0.005024 0.073988 0.282564 0.725671 1.482638 2.595760 4.236667
2025-05-25 0.002861 0.062578 0.261441 0.700146 1.464775 2.602893 4.294621